As we close in on the end of what for many has been the most tumultuous, challenging and unpredictable year in recent memory, the idea of creating a strategic plan can seem daunting, perhaps even futile. What will the world look like in six months? Twelve months? Two years? We can make some educated guesses, but if recent history has taught us anything, it is that we just don’t know what the future holds in store.
Scenario planning helps organizations to strategize in an environment shaped by critical uncertainties and where different realities or outcomes are possible. This article outlines a process to help associations and other organizations to develop effective and pragmatic strategy during times of volatility and high uncertainty.